Tracking The 'Commentosphere' April 27, 2007
Posted by Mark Blei in : Uncategorized , add a comment| Tracking The ‘Commentosphere’ | |
| by Steve Smith, Friday, Apr 27, 2007 1:00 PM ET | |
| IF CONVERSATION IS A KIND of behavior, then the recently launched coComment.com service brings to the world of behavioral analysis a new angle. The company lets users track their own commentary around the Web and even those of their contacts. While still in its early phases, coComment is tracking conversations across 150,000 sites already. As CEO Matt Colebourne tells us, the next phases will involve leveraging that database of conversations, attitudes, topics and views into market intelligence about what we are thinking and talking about. Behavioral Insider: What is the basic technology behind coComment, and how is it rolling out? Matt Colebourne: Phase one is a simple tool or service for users which allows them to track every conversation that they have [online,] whether it be in a blog or commenting on a piece of content or in a forum or a thread. Highly trafficked sites get thousands of comments and you get lost. From a single location you can track every single conversation. If anyone responds, you get alerted and see what they have said. Then what you really want to do is follow what well-known individuals online are saying across a range of sites. So we started building that functionality. It is anonymized; people don’t have to give their real name and ID. To track a specific individual you would have to know what they are calling themselves. BI: This is a free service. What is the business model? Colebourne: It is advertising-funded, based on display advertising. We aim to be the enabling layer between people and finding a good conversation. With the volume of conversations, it doesn’t need that many people to go through to become highly profitable. It also allows us to research attitudes toward products, services and the like. Again, on an anonymized basis. BI: Where do behavioral models fit into this? Colebourne: That folds into where we are going. What I have just explained is version one. But what that kind of thing doesn’t solve is the issue of finding a good conversation. If you want to discuss politics, religion, cars, then people who actually know something about it are far more interesting than people who know nothing about it. We are looking at how we can help a community find its own experts. Version two of the product becomes more about individuals not just keeping track of, but making sense of, the world in terms of how they want to interact with conversations. So they can look at a conversation stream of tens of thousands of comments and say, I only want to see those answered by people that I know. But then it is useful if you can start to pick up on the individuals who have natural authority on the topic. So we are building a ranking system or a behavioral system where people rate other people. But after a while, once the experts start appearing, they in turn should be able to bring other people up quickly. So an expert on medieval history can see I actually do have something to say on it and give me a positive ranking. That will give me a much higher rank than someone else who knows nothing about it. So it is like a peer review and commenter ranking system, but against the taxonomy of topics that allows the natural experts to appear. BI: So people are judging one another’s behavior in the threads. Will behaviors like frequency and recency of posts identify expertise? Colebourne: We are working on other behaviors as well, but we want to be careful about doing too much behavioral tracking in a very blogger-heavy audience. We have to play by the rules of the market, so we’re shying away from doing too much that wouldn’t be voluntary. We are looking at some very interesting technology that allows us to do a mind map representation of people’s views on particular topics and incorporate that into ranking. How about if we rank on like-mindedness? You can say I want to see what people who normally think like me say about a topic and how people who think opposite of me think. BI: But you are also amassing an index of conversations, which are a kind of behavior. Colebourne: Obviously we are building a considerable behavioral database. Comments are being tracked. What we end up with is how often people are commenting, where they are commenting and even what they are commenting on to a defined taxonomy. You do get a buzz index. We are trying to put together behavioral — i.e. recency, frequency, and a value measure from the community — and put all that together with potentially psychographic information. BI: What value does it offer marketers? Colebourne: The behavioral and demographic information gets interesting in the research space, where it really adds more value we think. If we are tracking 20% of the world’s conversations, this is a huge amount of information, and you don’t need to be in any way invading privacy because you can do it anonymously. People can understand how groups of people think. Anyone asking what people think about my company or product would probably want to find out what the blogosphere thinks, but they wouldn’t base their entire strategy on that group because it is a small percentage. They want to look at different demographic groups, activity groups, and behavioral groups in terms of how they interact and converse. Otherwise you could get a very misleading impression. If I am Coke and I want to know I am being talked about, that is an easy measure in a database. But how do I find out if I am being talked about positively? That is exactly where we can offer something that at the moment we don’t believe anyone else can. You need to have all of those stored conversations. There is plenty of tech that will help you pull out what is essentially a semantic query. The issue is, do you have the data to run them against? In storing a copy of every conversation we then provide a searchable database so we can say what is appearing. Companies already are interacting and having conversations. But the problem is that is you can’t cover the entire commentosphere. BI: Where would this knowledge make a difference? Colebourne: You can imagine Coke in a given country wanting to understand how the branding is moving in relation to certain strategies. It is an old example, but look at Kryptonite locks and the posting of the article that showed you could break into [the locks]. That company did not realize how big an issue this had become, because they were only monitoring a small number of areas where it [had] only started appearing –when suddenly it exploded… and it cost them a lot of money. But they were unable to [discover the extent of the problem] because the initial conversations were separate, and then suddenly they reached critical mass.
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Behavioral Insider- The Emerging Nexus Of BT And Mobile Search February 14, 2007
Posted by Mark Blei in : Uncategorized , add a commentThe Emerging Nexus Of BT And Mobile Search
, Wednesday, February 14, 2007
WITH OVER 10% OF AMERICA’S 200-plus million cell phone subscribers now using the wireless Web on a regular basis, it’s clear a critical mass of both consumers and mobile consumer data will soon exist to make scaleable mobile targeting a reality. In theory, that is. In practice, the challenge remains creating a viable “ecosystem” for leveraging all that emerging behavioral data among mobile operators, mobile content providers and advertisers. In the discussion below Adam Soroca, vice president of search at JumpTap, a provider of “white label” search solutions for mobile operators, outlines what such an “ecosystem” might look like. Behavioral Insider: What seem to be the fundamental — or at least, major — differences between targeting for online and targeting in a mobile context? Adam Soroca: Mobile is a truly personal medium. The cell phone is a personal device that, unlike a computer, is unlikely to have multiple users. Also, the profiles you get from mobile customers have a substantially longer shelf life than what you’d customarily get from a cookie on a Web site. With mobile you get subscriber data, so the store of data for profiling can be much richer over time — whereas cookies get deleted constantly. In practice you’ve got targetable information that’s more locally based and actionable and timely. There’s clear data showing, for instance, that mobile user activity is much more geared to immediate specific purchase intent. Mobile users employ search to look for very definite services and content they need right that instant. BI: Search activity by mobile users remains an unknown commodity for the most part. As one of the early leaders in that space, what do you think is known about it at this stage? Soroca: There’s quite a bit of data we’ve accumulated on search behavior. One thing that comes out is that mobile users do search a lot. Our estimates are that in aggregate our mobile operators’ search traffic will exceed 250 million searches per month by the end of this year. The percentage of searches that result in a direct purchase keeps increasing. One study we did showed more than 11% of searches resulted in a sale. BI: How did JumpTag get its start in leveraging mobile search data? Soroca: We started out as a search service provider for carriers. What we did was provide mobile operators with white label search platforms. Based on the subscriber information in their databases, our system provided customized indexing of mobile content for their users to search. Doing this well involves progressively learning more about what an operator’s subscribers are interested in based on their profiles, and then providing them the simplest possible interface to access that information on and off portal. Essentially the way it works is that the more functionally relevant the search interface is for consumers, the more targetable consumer search trends and behavior can be for advertisers. BI: How does it work? Soroca: What we see opening up is help distilling behavioral profiles that enhance existing profiles of mobile users based on handset type, demography and geography, for the first time. The targeting can work in a variety of advertising models, from pay-per-click, pay-per-call, to more traditional CPM. If we see users searching for BMWs, we can target ads for specific local dealerships. BI: Beyond retargeting users based on search history, what other dimensions of behavioral targeting do you see on the near-term horizon for mobile? Soroca: Currently mobile ad solutions are mostly based on either specific application contexts like ‘we know someone likes to download ringtones so we can target ringtone ads,’ or by profile, as in ’someone uses X sort of handsets.’ Adding search behavior to that moves the mobile targeting learning curve ahead dramatically. But there’s still another dimension that can make behavioral profile much more powerful. That’s aggregating all the historical data related to search and browsing with all the demographic and subscription information in databases including off-network content. There are new technologies we’re working with that will enable us very soon to move in that direction. BI: We’ve talked about some of the motivations of operators and of advertisers for advancing mobile targseting. What about the content providers and the publishers on the sell side? Soroca: As the process has gone from expanding information and other content offerings from on-network portals to more off-net as well, I think the universe of behavioral and other data will move further and further beyond current silos. The exact road map isn’t clear. But what is clear is that publishers as well as operators are in the process of building deep wells of behavioral data. One possible trend will be that tier-one mobile content publishers will want to sell inventory by themselves through mobile operators who will extend partnership with them to open up their subscriber data profiles, anonymously, of course, on a case-by-case basis. Tier-two and tier-three publishers, on the other hand, may. and likely will, move more in an ad network model. In any case, there promises very soon to be a dramatically enlarged universe of data from all the buckets I’ve outlined — subscriber profiles from the operators, on- and off-network search, purchase and browsing data and publisher profile data.